Global debt just hit $345.7 trillion. That’s ~3x the size of the world’s GDP
Global debt just hit $345.7 trillion. That’s ~3x the size of the world’s GDP...
It’s a stress test for the global financial system.
Your government is lying about how safe your money is.
Here’s what’s really going on :
1) Debt didn’t rise overnight. It was engineered.
Post-COVID stimulus programs
Cheap money era (near-zero interest rates for years)
Governments choosing growth today over sustainability tomorrow
Result?
Debt ballooned across governments, households, and corporations.
2) The problem is not debt. The problem is cost of debt.
When rates were at 0–1%, debt felt harmless.
Today:
US policy rates hover around 3%+
Many emerging markets borrow at 5–8%
Refinancing costs have doubled or tripled in some cases
This means:
Old debt is coming back at much higher interest.
That’s where cracks appear.
3) Governments are the biggest risk this time.
US federal debt: $34+ trillion
Japan: ~260% debt-to-GDP
Several European nations running persistent fiscal deficits
When governments borrow too much:
They lose flexibility during crises
They print or inflate their way out
Citizens pay via higher taxes or lower purchasing power
History is very clear on this.
4) Emerging markets are walking a tightrope.
Many EM countries:
Borrow in USD
Earn in local currency
When the dollar strengthens:
Debt becomes more expensive
Capital flows reverse
Currency crises follow
We’ve seen this movie before (Latin America, Asia, Turkey, Sri Lanka).
5) The most under-discussed risk: policy paralysis.
High debt limits options.
In the next global shock:
Governments can’t stimulate freely
Central banks can’t cut aggressively
Bailouts become politically toxic
That’s dangerous.
So what does this mean for individuals?
A few uncomfortable truths:
Inflation is no longer “temporary”
Financial repression (low real returns) is likely
Asset prices will stay volatile
Cash is not as safe as it feels
And the most important lesson:
In a world drowning in debt, personal balance sheets matter more than ever.
The next decade won’t reward blind optimism.
It will reward prudence, diversification, and patience.
Debt-fueled growth always ends the same way.
The only question is when.
What do you think breaks first governments, markets, or currencies?
Hope you like this
keep Reading & upgrading your knowledge
Wise investing
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Hemant pagi
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