Importance of Moving Averages for Intraday
Hello friends lets understand moving averages
Intraday trading is so much more than just placing buy and
sell orders within the same day’s trading session. While you may resort to unorganized
or unplanned trades as a beginner, there are specific strategies and indicators
that can help you become a more successful intraday trader over time.
Technical analysis, in particular, is both necessary and
useful for intraday traders who wish to capitalize on ultra-short-term price
fluctuations. In simple terms, this strategy makes use of past price and volume
patterns to predict future market movements. One of the most powerful tools
used in technical analysis is the intraday moving average.
In this article, we’ll discuss what a moving average is,
learn more about the different types of moving averages and explore the best
intraday moving averages.
What is a Moving Average?
A moving average (MA) is an indicator used in technical
analysis. It gives you a constantly updated average stock price, so short-term
market volatility and price action are smoothened out. So, even if the actual
stock price rises and falls by small amounts over a period, you can assess the
overall direction of price movements using a moving average indicator. This is
because the indicator eliminates all the noise from the price charts, giving
you clear insights into the primary price trend.
How Does a Moving Average Work?
While there are different types of moving averages, let us
take the most basic version of this indicator to understand how MAs work. Let’s
say the average price of a stock over the past 30 days is Rs. 545. The simple
moving average would then be computed as Rs. 18.16 (i.e. Rs. 545 ÷ 30
days).
Then, on day 31, the price of day 1 will be dropped from
the value set and the price of the stock on day 31 will be included instead.
This will still leave you with 30 data points, but the average ‘moves’ on to
the next 30-day period instead. In this way, for every 30-day period, the
moving average is calculated and charted, thereby giving you a clear picture of
how the average price has changed historically.
Types of Moving Averages
Depending on the manner in which a moving average is
calculated or the period for which it is computed, there are different types of
moving averages. Here is a closer look at the most common types of MAs used in
technical analysis for intraday trading
·
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
A simple moving average is what we saw in the
above-mentioned example. It is the arithmetic mean of the data points over a
given period. The prices or data points over the given period are added
together and then divided by the number of data points. Since it uses
historical prices, it is a lagging indicator.
The formula for the simple moving average is as follows:
Simple
Moving Average = (P1 + P2 + … + Pn)
÷ n |
Here, P is the price and n is the number of time periods
over which the data is gathered.
·
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The exponential moving average gives more priority to
recent data or price points, thereby making it more responsive to new
information than the SMA. It is computed using the following formula:
Current
EMA = [Closing Price of the Stock – EMA (Previous Time Period)] x Multiplier
+ EMA (Previous Time Period) |
·
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA)
The double exponential moving average builds on the concept
of the EMA, but it is more effective at smoothing out volatile price movements
and reducing the lag typically associated with the exponential moving average.
The DEMA is computed using the formula shown below.
DEMA
= 2 X EMAn — EMA of EMAn |
Here, EMAnis the EMA for
the lookback period or the duration over which you are computing the
DEMA.
·
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA)
The triple exponential moving average reduces lag and
clarifies price action more effectively than the DEMA. It is computed using the
formula given below.
TEMA
= (3 X EMA1) — (3 X EMA2) + EMA3 |
Here, EMA1is the primary
exponential moving average, EMA2is essentially
the EMA1’s exponential moving average, and EMA3is the EMA2’s exponential
moving average.
·
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
To compute the weighted moving average, each price point is
multiplied by a weighting factor. The weighting factor is higher for recent
data points and lower for older information. So, like the EMA, the WMA is also
highly responsive to recent or new information.
Which Moving Average is the Best for Intraday Trading?
All of the different types of moving averages outlined
above can be used as intraday moving averages. That said, there are some MA
strategies that are highly effective for intraday trading. Let’s take a closer
look at some of the best intraday moving average strategies.
1.
The 5-8-13 Moving Average Strategy
This strategy involves using the simple moving averages for
5, 8 and 13 periods. Typically, in the case of intraday trading, the period is
measured in terms of minutes since you will be closing your positions within
the same trading day itself. If you are a beginner to intraday trading, you
will need to gain some experience in interpreting the 5, 8 and 13-period moving
averages. By analyzing the differences or similarities between these three
metrics, you can get a clear picture of how the prices may move within the next
few minutes, and then take trading positions accordingly.
2.
The Golden Cross
The golden cross is a technical indicator that makes use of
a short-term and long-term moving average. Typically, this set includes a
50-period and a period MA 200 If the 50 MA
line for a stock cuts across its 200 MA line from below and rises steeply
thereafter, it indicates that the stock price is rising quickly in the current
market.
3.
The Death Cross
The death cross is the opposite of the golden cross, and it
is indicative of a strong bearish sentiment for the stock price. It can be
identified on the chart if the 50 MA line cuts across the 200 MA line from
above and declines steeply thereafter. This essentially means that in the more
recent data periods, the stock’s price is falling rapidly.
4.
The 20 EMA Strategy
A 20 EMA is computed over the last 20 periods or candles.
In intraday trading, each candle could pertain to 1-minute, 5-minute or
15-minute time periods. Experts suggest that using 15-minute EMA is most
effective for intraday trades that are carried out during periods of high
market volatility.
To interpret the 20 EMA, you need to compare it with the
prevailing stock price. If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it signals a
possible downtrend. But if the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it signals a
possible uptrend. You can combine this moving average indicator with other
technical indicators to confirm a trend and enter or exit a position
accordingly.
Conclusion
This sums up what a moving average is and which moving
average is the best for intraday trading. You can make use of the moving
average trading strategies outlined above to make more successful intraday
trades. However, keep in mind that moving averages can also be used for other
short-term trading techniques like range trading, swing trading and momentum
trading. If you want to enter more long-term positions instead, you can make
use of fundamental analysis and the metrics it covers, like financial ratios
and more
Hope you like the content
Keep learning keep growing
Wise investing
9316280063/9898559842
Comments
Post a Comment