Alert from china
Evergrande
- Snowed under its crushing debt of $300 billion, Evergrande is so huge that the fallout from any failure could hurt not just China’s economy. Contagion could spread to markets beyond China.
- Here’s how big Evergrande is, how bad its debt problems are, and what’s next.
Chinese property giant is on the brink of collapse, and analysts warn the potential fallout could have far-reaching implications that spill outside China’s borders.
“Evergrande’s collapse would be the biggest test that China’s financial system has faced in years,” says Mark Williams, chief Asia economist at Capital Economics.
Here’s how bad its problems are, and what’s in store for investors.
After expanding rapidly for years and snapping up assets as China’s economy boomed, Evergrande is now snowed under a crushing debt of $300 billion.
The world’s most indebted property developer has been scrambling to pay its suppliers, and warned investors twice in as many weeks that it could default on its debts.
On Tuesday, Evergrande said its property sales will likely continue to drop significantly in September after declining for months,
The Chinese developer is so huge that the fallout from a potential failure could hurt not only the Chinese economy, but spread to markets beyond.
Banks have also responded to its deteriorating cash flow. Some in Hong Kong, including HSBC & standard charted have declined to extend new loans to buyers of two uncompleted residential projects, said Reuters.
Ratings agencies have repeatedly downgraded the firm, citing its liquidity problems. Evergrande’s problems intensified last year when China introduced rules to rein in the borrowing costs of developers. Those measures place a cap on debt in relation to a firm’s cash flows, assets and capital levels.
1. Banks
The banking industry would be among the first to be hit if there are any contagion effects on the wider property sector in China, said Williams of Capital Economics.
“A banking failure triggered by the collapse of major property developers was the single most likely scenario that could lead to a hard landing in China. And the fact that financial markets aren’t currently signaling alarm doesn’t mean they won’t,” Williams wrote in a note last week.
2. Homebuyers and investors
Protests by angry homebuyers and investors broke out in recent days in some cities, and social unrest is among the concerns.
On Monday, around 100 investors Turned at Evergrande’s headquarters in Shenzhen, demanding repayment of loans on overdue financial products — forming chaotic scenes, according to Reuters
Metel
Banks
Overseas Fund
Real Estate will Affect from this
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